مدیریت ساخت و مدیریت پروژه
seyed ali asghar mousavi; alireza valipour
Abstract
Earned value management (EVM) is one of the most frequently applied methods in project management for the investigation of the performance and controlling of the temporal and cost progress of the project. Using its temporal and cost control indices, this method is capable of predicting the future status ...
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Earned value management (EVM) is one of the most frequently applied methods in project management for the investigation of the performance and controlling of the temporal and cost progress of the project. Using its temporal and cost control indices, this method is capable of predicting the future status of the project in terms of time and cost. But, this approach falls short of taking the risk analysis and project’s variability into account. The primary goal of the present study is the conceptual and subjective combining of risk management and EVM and investigation of the effect of risk occurrence on the project’s objectives using the EVM indices. To collect the information on the theoretical foundations and study literature and study background, use has been made herein of the Persian and Latin books, articles, dissertations and information databases and questionnaire and interview have been the methods of choice for gathering the information pertinent to the scales and indices. Moreover, in order to identify and prioritize the risks, the perspectives of the sophisticated experts and managers in civil activities have been inquired and ANP and Super Decision Software have been the instruments of interest for information analysis. After analyzing and evaluating and prioritizing the risk, the risk management process has been applied along with challenging the dimensions and factors influencing the project’s prospective performance to offer the risk coefficient that was subsequently combined with the current EVM indices for increasing the accuracy and precision of the project goals’ estimation. A civil reconstruction project (central building project of Shiraz’s municipality) in progress was evaluated for applying and comparing this method. Finally, it was found that the occurrence of risk has a significant impact on the project's objectives and changes its time and costs, additionally, given the risk factor, deviation from the time and cost of the project can considerably decrease.
مدیریت ساخت و مدیریت پروژه
seyed ali asghar mousavi; alireza vali pour
Abstract
One of the goals of knowledge of construction management is to identify the unforeseen factors and situations in the way of implementing projects in order to provide effective plans for dealing with potential risks and project risks. Risk assessment is one of the most important factors in risk management ...
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One of the goals of knowledge of construction management is to identify the unforeseen factors and situations in the way of implementing projects in order to provide effective plans for dealing with potential risks and project risks. Risk assessment is one of the most important factors in risk management and research indicates the need to use risk assessment to achieve success in construction projects. The aim of this study is to identify the types of risks in constructions projects based on the PMBOK, analysis, ranking and priority of risks using ANP method in order to improve the technical, qualitative and economic aspects of constructions projects. this research is in search of a suitable model that can use risk management and its methods in order to implement the economic and technical implementation of civil engineering projects. At first, 40 risks were identified in the context of 8 groups of risk factors through library studies and interviews, then by questionnaire and their analysis, were finally identified and ranked as the most important risks in constructions projects. Also, experts’ and experienced managers’ expertise in constructions activities was duly consulted to identify and prioritize the risks, and for the analysis of information, ANP and Super Decision software were used. Finally, it was found that the risk of delay in case of situations, adjustments and other costs to the contractor from the risk group of employers is the most important risk.
